Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 18:00 • FC Alverca Sports Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.42) 1.37 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.6% 27.7% 61.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.4%
0 - 0
17.1%
0 - 2
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alverca 0 17.1% 23.4% 16.1% 7.3% 2.5% 0.7%
1 6.8% 9.3% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlvercaNacional
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack46%46%
Defense38%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alverca Nacional
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%33%33%17%33%25%
Draws17%17%17%0%50%25%
Loses50%50%50%83%17%50%

Form: Alverca: LLDLWLWWLLDW • Nacional: LDLWLLWWDLDL

League goals

Metric Alverca Nacional
HATHAT
GF total59146612
GF avg0.81.51.21.01.01.0
GA total1091913417
GA avg1.71.51.62.20.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlvercaNacional
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%83%
1.533%58%17%42%
2.58%17%8%8%
3.50%8%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlvercaNacional
HATHAT
Clean sheets213022
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricAlvercaNacional
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricAlvercaNacional
Wins22
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-20-2
Biggest losses0-42-01-41-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against4241

Model comparison

MetricAlvercaNacional
Form58%42%
Att50%50%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total44.8%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nacional

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.69 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alverca = 0.39 (league 1.42), Nacional = 1.37 (league 1.24)

Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alverca 0 17.1% 23.4% 16.1% 7.3% 2.5% 0.7%
1 6.8% 9.3% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.6% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 61.4%

vtt 8 , vtd1