Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 20:15 • Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.37) 1.48 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.3% 26.5% 51.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.6%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 2
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting CP
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 9.9% 14.6% 10.8% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.3% 12.2% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.5% 5.1% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBenficaSporting CP
Played55
Form73%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense75%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Benfica Sporting CP
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%83%67%67%100%83%
Draws50%17%33%17%0%8%
Loses0%0%0%17%0%8%

Form: Benfica: WWWDWDWDWWDW • Sporting CP: WWWLWWWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Benfica Sporting CP
HATHAT
GF total141125171431
GF avg2.31.82.12.82.32.6
GA total527336
GA avg0.80.30.60.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBenficaSporting CP
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%50%100%42%
1.567%8%75%8%
2.533%0%42%0%
3.58%0%25%0%
4.58%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBenficaSporting CP
HATHAT
Clean sheets246437
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricBenficaSporting CP
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total73

Streaks

MetricBenficaSporting CP
Wins33
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-36-01-4
Biggest losses——1-2—
Goals For5364
Goals Against2121

Model comparison

MetricBenficaSporting CP
Form46%54%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total41.7%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sporting CP

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away2.70 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Benfica = 0.84 (league 1.37), Sporting CP = 1.48 (league 1.25)

Sporting CP
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 9.9% 14.6% 10.8% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6%
1 8.3% 12.2% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 3.5% 5.1% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.3% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 51.8%

Vtot 17 , Vtod1