Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:30 • Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.37) 1.06 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.9% 22.6% 21.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Moreirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estoril 0 5.4% 5.7% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.1% 10.7% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstorilMoreirense
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack79%57%
Defense50%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estoril Moreirense
HATHAT
Played65116612
Wins33%20%27%67%33%50%
Draws33%40%36%17%0%8%
Loses33%40%36%17%67%42%

Form: Estoril: DLDLWLLDDWW • Moreirense: WWWLWLWLLWLD

League goals

Metric Estoril Moreirense
HATHAT
GF total9101912618
GF avg1.52.01.72.01.01.5
GA total891771017
GA avg1.31.81.51.21.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstorilMoreirense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%91%83%75%
1.555%45%58%50%
2.527%18%8%17%
3.518%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstorilMoreirense
HATHAT
Clean sheets011123
Failed to score213022

Penalties

MetricEstorilMoreirense
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricEstorilMoreirense
Wins13
Draws20
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-43-10-2
Biggest losses0-12-01-23-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricEstorilMoreirense
Form67%33%
Att58%42%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total54.5%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Estoril or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 1xBet
Away4.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.80 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Betfair
No1.90 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estoril = 1.86 (league 1.37), Moreirense = 1.06 (league 1.23)

Moreirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estoril 0 5.4% 5.7% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.1% 10.7% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.9% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 21.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1