Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 15:30 • Estádio de São Miguel
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.37) 0.96 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 26.5% 24.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Casa Pia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Clara 0 8.9% 8.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.5% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta ClaraCasa Pia
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack45%64%
Defense45%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.215 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Clara Casa Pia
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%17%25%0%33%17%
Draws17%33%25%33%17%25%
Loses50%50%50%67%50%58%

Form: Santa Clara: LLDWDWLLWLLD • Casa Pia: LWLLWDLDLLDL

League goals

Metric Santa Clara Casa Pia
HATHAT
GF total64106713
GF avg1.00.70.81.01.21.1
GA total6814141226
GA avg1.01.31.22.32.02.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta ClaraCasa Pia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%75%58%83%
1.517%33%42%75%
2.50%8%8%25%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta ClaraCasa Pia
HATHAT
Clean sheets213022
Failed to score224325

Penalties

MetricSanta ClaraCasa Pia
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Total52

Streaks

MetricSanta ClaraCasa Pia
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-1—0-2
Biggest losses1-23-03-54-0
Goals For2132
Goals Against2354

Model comparison

MetricSanta ClaraCasa Pia
Form67%33%
Att42%58%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Santa Clara or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ 1xBet
Draw3.22 @ 1xBet
Away4.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.41 @ 188Bet
No1.60 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Clara = 1.46 (league 1.37), Casa Pia = 0.96 (league 1.25)

Casa Pia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Clara 0 8.9% 8.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.5% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 24.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1