Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 20:30 • Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.37) 2.89 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.3% 14.4% 66.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 3
8.2%
0 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Alverca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arouca 0 1.9% 5.4% 7.8% 7.5% 5.4% 3.1%
1 2.0% 5.9% 8.5% 8.2% 5.9% 3.4%
2 1.1% 3.2% 4.6% 4.5% 3.2% 1.9%
3 0.4% 1.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAroucaAlverca
Played55
Form0%47%
Attack31%31%
Defense0%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)18 | 3.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arouca Alverca
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins14%17%15%43%33%38%
Draws29%17%23%14%17%15%
Loses57%67%62%43%50%46%

Form: Arouca: WLDDLWLDLLLLL • Alverca: LLDLWLWWLLDWW

League goals

Metric Arouca Alverca
HATHAT
GF total77146915
GF avg1.01.21.10.91.51.2
GA total17203710919
GA avg2.43.32.81.41.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAroucaAlverca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%100%77%69%
1.531%69%31%54%
2.523%54%8%15%
3.50%38%0%8%
4.50%15%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAroucaAlverca
HATHAT
Clean sheets000314
Failed to score426213

Penalties

MetricAroucaAlverca
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAroucaAlverca
Wins12
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-01-3
Biggest losses0-46-00-42-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against4642

Model comparison

MetricAroucaAlverca
Form0%100%
Att50%50%
Def28%72%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total35.3%64.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alverca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.04 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.70 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.90 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arouca = 1.09 (league 1.37), Alverca = 2.89 (league 1.24)

Alverca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arouca 0 1.9% 5.4% 7.8% 7.5% 5.4% 3.1%
1 2.0% 5.9% 8.5% 8.2% 5.9% 3.4%
2 1.1% 3.2% 4.6% 4.5% 3.2% 1.9%
3 0.4% 1.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.3% · Draw 14.4% · Away win 66.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1