Mon, Dec 15 2025 • 20:45 • Estádio Do Dragão
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.37) 0.16 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.7% 12.8% 1.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
22.7%
1 - 0
20.4%
3 - 0
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
Estrela
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Porto 0 9.2% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.4% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.7% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.9% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.4% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC PortoEstrela
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack50%63%
Defense88%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Porto Estrela
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins83%100%92%29%17%23%
Draws17%0%8%29%50%38%
Loses0%0%0%43%33%38%

Form: FC Porto: WWWWWWWDWWWWW • Estrela: DLDDLDWLLWDLW

League goals

Metric FC Porto Estrela
HATHAT
GF total11162710616
GF avg1.82.32.11.41.01.2
GA total12391019
GA avg0.20.30.21.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC PortoEstrela
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%23%54%77%
1.569%0%31%46%
2.531%0%23%15%
3.515%0%8%8%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC PortoEstrela
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510123
Failed to score101246

Penalties

MetricFC PortoEstrela
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricFC PortoEstrela
Wins71
Draws12
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-03-5
Biggest losses——0-24-0
Goals For4435
Goals Against1124

Model comparison

MetricFC PortoEstrela
Form68%32%
Att44%56%
Def85%15%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total70.7%29.3%

Advice: Double chance : FC Porto or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ 1xBet
Draw8.00 @ Betfair
Away23.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ Pinnacle
No1.64 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Porto = 2.23 (league 1.37), Estrela = 0.16 (league 1.24)

Estrela
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Porto 0 9.2% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.4% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 22.7% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.9% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.4% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.7% · Draw 12.8% · Away win 1.9%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1