Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 18:00 • Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.41) 1.72 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.5% 21.9% 68.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.1%
0 - 2
17.3%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moreirense 0 11.7% 20.1% 17.3% 10.0% 4.3% 1.5%
1 5.0% 8.5% 7.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
2 1.1% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMoreirenseBenfica
Played55
Form33%73%
Attack82%100%
Defense18%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Moreirense Benfica
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins67%29%46%43%83%62%
Draws17%14%15%57%17%38%
Loses17%57%38%0%0%0%

Form: Moreirense: WWWLWLWLLWLDD • Benfica: WWWDWDWDWWDWD

League goals

Metric Moreirense Benfica
HATHAT
GF total12921151126
GF avg2.01.31.62.11.82.0
GA total71320628
GA avg1.21.91.50.90.30.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMoreirenseBenfica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%77%92%54%
1.562%54%62%8%
2.515%23%31%0%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMoreirenseBenfica
HATHAT
Clean sheets123246
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricMoreirenseBenfica
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total07

Streaks

MetricMoreirenseBenfica
Wins33
Draws01
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-25-00-3
Biggest losses1-23-0——
Goals For3353
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricMoreirenseBenfica
Form31%69%
Att41%59%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total30.5%69.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Benfica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.75 @ 10Bet
Draw4.98 @ Pinnacle
Away1.45 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Betano
Under 2.51.98 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Unibet
No1.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Moreirense = 0.42 (league 1.41), Benfica = 1.72 (league 1.25)

Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moreirense 0 11.7% 20.1% 17.3% 10.0% 4.3% 1.5%
1 5.0% 8.5% 7.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
2 1.1% 1.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.5% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 68.7%

vtt 7 , vtd1