Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 18:45 • FC Alverca Sports Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.20 (league 1.37) 2.61 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.7% 9.6% 83.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
20.6%
0 - 3
17.9%
0 - 1
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
FC Porto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alverca 0 6.1% 15.8% 20.6% 17.9% 11.7% 6.1%
1 1.2% 3.1% 4.1% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlvercaFC Porto
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack36%82%
Defense64%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alverca FC Porto
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%29%36%86%100%93%
Draws14%14%14%14%0%7%
Loses43%57%50%0%0%0%

Form: Alverca: LLDLWLWWLLDWWL • FC Porto: WWWWWWWDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Alverca FC Porto
HATHAT
GF total6915141630
GF avg0.91.31.12.02.32.1
GA total101020224
GA avg1.41.41.40.30.30.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlvercaFC Porto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%93%29%
1.529%50%71%0%
2.57%14%36%0%
3.50%7%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlvercaFC Porto
HATHAT
Clean sheets3145510
Failed to score224101

Penalties

MetricAlvercaFC Porto
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricAlvercaFC Porto
Wins27
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-00-4
Biggest losses0-42-0——
Goals For2344
Goals Against4211

Model comparison

MetricAlvercaFC Porto
Form32%68%
Att31%69%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution6%94%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total25.5%74.5%

Advice: Winner : FC Porto

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.50 @ Betano
Draw5.09 @ 1xBet
Away1.38 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alverca = 0.20 (league 1.37), FC Porto = 2.61 (league 1.24)

FC Porto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alverca 0 6.1% 15.8% 20.6% 17.9% 11.7% 6.1%
1 1.2% 3.1% 4.1% 3.5% 2.3% 1.2%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.7% · Draw 9.6% · Away win 83.8%

Vtot 7 , Vtod6