Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 20:30 • Estádio de São Miguel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.43) 0.87 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.7% 17.8% 12.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.2%
1 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Arouca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Clara 0 4.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.7% 8.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.6% 7.4% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.9% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta ClaraArouca
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack30%50%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Clara Arouca
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins43%14%29%25%17%21%
Draws14%29%21%25%17%21%
Loses43%57%50%50%67%57%

Form: Santa Clara: LLDWDWLLWLLDWL • Arouca: WLDDLWLDLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Santa Clara Arouca
HATHAT
GF total74118715
GF avg1.00.60.81.01.21.1
GA total6915172037
GA avg0.91.31.12.13.32.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta ClaraArouca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%71%57%93%
1.514%29%29%64%
2.50%7%21%50%
3.50%0%0%36%
4.50%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta ClaraArouca
HATHAT
Clean sheets314101
Failed to score235426

Penalties

MetricSanta ClaraArouca
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricSanta ClaraArouca
Wins11
Draws12
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-11-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-46-0
Goals For2133
Goals Against2346

Model comparison

MetricSanta ClaraArouca
Form57%43%
Att38%63%
Def72%28%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total50.3%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Arouca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away5.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ 188Bet
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Clara = 2.30 (league 1.43), Arouca = 0.87 (league 1.25)

Arouca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Clara 0 4.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.7% 8.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.6% 7.4% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.9% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.7% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 12.5%

vtt 8 , vtd1