Tue, Dec 23 2025 • 20:45 • Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.42) 1.86 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.8% 21.4% 64.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.7%
0 - 2
13.7%
1 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting CP
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes 0 7.9% 14.7% 13.7% 8.5% 4.0% 1.5%
1 5.3% 9.9% 9.3% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
2 1.8% 3.4% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuimaraesSporting CP
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack55%100%
Defense73%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.215 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guimaraes Sporting CP
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%43%43%71%86%79%
Draws43%0%21%14%14%14%
Loses14%57%36%14%0%7%

Form: Guimaraes: LWLDWDLWLLWWDW • Sporting CP: WWWLWWWDWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Guimaraes Sporting CP
HATHAT
GF total11415231538
GF avg1.60.61.13.32.12.7
GA total8917347
GA avg1.11.31.20.40.60.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuimaraesSporting CP
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%64%100%43%
1.529%43%71%7%
2.514%14%43%0%
3.57%0%29%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuimaraesSporting CP
HATHAT
Clean sheets235538
Failed to score246000

Penalties

MetricGuimaraesSporting CP
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricGuimaraesSporting CP
Wins24
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-26-01-4
Biggest losses0-33-01-2—
Goals For4264
Goals Against3321

Model comparison

MetricGuimaraesSporting CP
Form43%57%
Att29%71%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h29%71%
Goals35%65%
Total33.5%66.5%

Advice: Winner : Sporting CP

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.50 @ Unibet
Draw4.66 @ Pinnacle
Away1.53 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Unibet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guimaraes = 0.68 (league 1.42), Sporting CP = 1.86 (league 1.24)

Sporting CP
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes 0 7.9% 14.7% 13.7% 8.5% 4.0% 1.5%
1 5.3% 9.9% 9.3% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
2 1.8% 3.4% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.8% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 64.5%

vtt 21 , vtd1