Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 20:45 • Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.38) 0.88 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 31.2% 29.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
0 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Famalicao
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 14.4% 12.6% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.3% 13.4% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.1% 7.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBenficaFamalicao
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack100%73%
Defense64%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Benfica Famalicao
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins43%86%64%38%50%43%
Draws57%14%36%25%50%36%
Loses0%0%0%38%0%21%

Form: Benfica: WWWDWDWDWWDWDW • Famalicao: WWDWLDDDWWLDLW

League goals

Metric Benfica Famalicao
HATHAT
GF total15153011718
GF avg2.12.12.11.41.21.3
GA total628549
GA avg0.90.30.60.60.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBenficaFamalicao
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%50%79%43%
1.564%7%29%21%
2.536%0%14%0%
3.514%0%7%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBenficaFamalicao
HATHAT
Clean sheets257538
Failed to score011303

Penalties

MetricBenficaFamalicao
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total70

Streaks

MetricBenficaFamalicao
Wins32
Draws13
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-00-1
Biggest losses——1-2—
Goals For5442
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricBenficaFamalicao
Form61%39%
Att60%40%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h60%40%
Goals69%31%
Total60.3%39.7%

Advice: Double chance : Benfica or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.35 @ Unibet
Draw5.43 @ Pinnacle
Away10.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Benfica = 1.07 (league 1.38), Famalicao = 0.88 (league 1.23)

Famalicao
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 14.4% 12.6% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.3% 13.4% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.1% 7.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 29.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod2