Sun, Dec 28 2025 • 15:30 • Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.43) 1.01 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.4% 31.6% 36.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
0 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Guimaraes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casa Pia 0 14.7% 14.8% 7.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.5% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.1% 6.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasa PiaGuimaraes
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack26%37%
Defense63%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casa Pia Guimaraes
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins0%38%20%38%43%40%
Draws43%13%27%38%0%20%
Loses57%50%53%25%57%40%

Form: Casa Pia: LWLLWDLDLLDLLDW • Guimaraes: LWLDWDLWLLWWDWL

League goals

Metric Casa Pia Guimaraes
HATHAT
GF total791612416
GF avg1.01.11.11.50.61.1
GA total15142912921
GA avg2.11.81.91.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasa PiaGuimaraes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%87%60%67%
1.540%60%27%47%
2.57%20%13%20%
3.50%20%7%7%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasa PiaGuimaraes
HATHAT
Clean sheets022235
Failed to score336246

Penalties

MetricCasa PiaGuimaraes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCasa PiaGuimaraes
Wins12
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-24-00-2
Biggest losses3-54-01-43-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against5443

Model comparison

MetricCasa PiaGuimaraes
Form33%67%
Att42%58%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guimaraes

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away2.59 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.54 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Pinnacle
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casa Pia = 0.91 (league 1.43), Guimaraes = 1.01 (league 1.25)

Guimaraes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casa Pia 0 14.7% 14.8% 7.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.5% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.1% 6.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.4% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 36.9%

vtt 28 , vtd1