Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 20:30 • Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.43) 1.47 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.6% 24.1% 35.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Alverca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estoril 0 4.8% 7.0% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.5% 11.0% 8.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.7% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstorilAlverca
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack67%33%
Defense8%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estoril Alverca
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins38%14%27%38%29%33%
Draws38%29%33%13%14%13%
Loses25%57%40%50%57%53%

Form: Estoril: DLDLWLLDDWWLDLW • Alverca: LLDLWLWWLLDWWLL

League goals

Metric Estoril Alverca
HATHAT
GF total1310236915
GF avg1.61.41.50.81.31.0
GA total111425131023
GA avg1.42.01.71.61.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstorilAlverca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%87%67%73%
1.547%47%27%53%
2.527%27%7%20%
3.513%7%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstorilAlverca
HATHAT
Clean sheets112314
Failed to score235325

Penalties

MetricEstorilAlverca
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricEstorilAlverca
Wins22
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-42-01-3
Biggest losses0-14-00-42-0
Goals For4423
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricEstorilAlverca
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alverca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ 1xBet
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Unibet
No2.19 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estoril = 1.57 (league 1.43), Alverca = 1.47 (league 1.24)

Alverca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estoril 0 4.8% 7.0% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.5% 11.0% 8.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.7% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 35.4%

vtt 31 , vtd1