Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 20:30 •
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.37)
1.47 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.9% | 23.7% | 34.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Alverca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estoril | 0 | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Estoril | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 73% | 36% |
| Defense | 0% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Estoril | Alverca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 38% | 14% | 27% | 43% | 29% | 36% |
| Draws | 38% | 29% | 33% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Loses | 25% | 57% | 40% | 43% | 57% | 50% |
Form: Estoril: DLDLWLLDDWWLDLW • Alverca: LLDLWLWWLLDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Estoril | Alverca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 10 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 11 | 14 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Estoril | Alverca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 87% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 47% | 29% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 27% | 7% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 7% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Estoril | Alverca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Estoril | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Estoril | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-4 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Estoril | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 46.2% | 53.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Alverca
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Estoril = 1.63 (league 1.37), Alverca = 1.47 (league 1.24)
| Alverca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estoril | 0 | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 34.3%
Vtot 4 , Vtod4