Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.38) 0.49 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.7% 19.5% 8.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.2%
2 - 0
16.6%
3 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Estrela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Famalicao 0 8.9% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.2% 8.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.7% 5.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFamalicaoEstrela
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack73%45%
Defense55%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Famalicao Estrela
HATHAT
Played86148715
Wins38%50%43%25%14%20%
Draws25%50%36%38%43%40%
Loses38%0%21%38%43%40%

Form: Famalicao: WWDWLDDDWWLDLW • Estrela: DLDDLDWLLWDLWLD

League goals

Metric Famalicao Estrela
HATHAT
GF total1171810717
GF avg1.41.21.31.31.01.1
GA total54991322
GA avg0.60.70.61.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFamalicaoEstrela
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%43%53%73%
1.529%21%27%47%
2.514%0%20%20%
3.57%0%7%7%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFamalicaoEstrela
HATHAT
Clean sheets538224
Failed to score303347

Penalties

MetricFamalicaoEstrela
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricFamalicaoEstrela
Wins21
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-13-03-5
Biggest losses1-2—0-24-0
Goals For4235
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricFamalicaoEstrela
Form58%42%
Att62%38%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h50%50%
Goals75%25%
Total64.7%35.3%

Advice: Double chance : Famalicao or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ 1xBet
Draw3.87 @ 1xBet
Away5.25 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.84 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 10Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Famalicao = 1.93 (league 1.38), Estrela = 0.49 (league 1.23)

Estrela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Famalicao 0 8.9% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.2% 8.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.6% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.7% 5.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.7% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 8.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1