Sun, Dec 28 2025 • 20:30 • Estádio José Alvalade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.50 (league 1.41) 0.48 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.8% 6.6% 2.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
13.4%
4 - 0
11.7%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Rio Ave
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.4% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.4% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.7% 5.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.2% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CPRio Ave
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack89%32%
Defense84%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting CP Rio Ave
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins71%88%80%14%25%20%
Draws14%13%13%43%63%53%
Loses14%0%7%43%13%27%

Form: Sporting CP: WWWLWWWDWWWWDWW • Rio Ave: DDDLLDDWWLDDWLD

League goals

Metric Sporting CP Rio Ave
HATHAT
GF total23194271219
GF avg3.32.42.81.01.51.3
GA total358121224
GA avg0.40.60.51.71.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CPRio Ave
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%47%73%87%
1.573%7%40%40%
2.547%0%13%27%
3.533%0%0%7%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CPRio Ave
HATHAT
Clean sheets538112
Failed to score000314

Penalties

MetricSporting CPRio Ave
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricSporting CPRio Ave
Wins42
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-43-01-2
Biggest losses1-2—0-43-1
Goals For6433
Goals Against2143

Model comparison

MetricSporting CPRio Ave
Form68%32%
Att74%26%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h93%7%
Goals72%28%
Total77.0%23.0%

Advice: Winner : Sporting CP

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.11 @ 10Bet
Draw12.59 @ Pinnacle
Away55.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.00 @ Bet365
No1.50 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP = 3.50 (league 1.41), Rio Ave = 0.48 (league 1.25)

Rio Ave
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.4% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.4% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.7% 5.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.2% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.8% · Draw 6.6% · Away win 2.3%

vtt 24 , vtd1