Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 18:00 • Estádio da Luz
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.83 (league 1.41) 0.89 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.5% 13.6% 9.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.7%
3 - 0
9.1%
2 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Estoril
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.8% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.7% 8.6% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 9.1% 8.2% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBenficaEstoril
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack67%53%
Defense73%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Benfica Estoril
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins50%75%63%44%14%31%
Draws50%25%38%33%29%31%
Loses0%0%0%22%57%38%

Form: Benfica: WWWDWDWDWWDWDWWD • Estoril: DLDLWLLDDWWLDLWW

League goals

Metric Benfica Estoril
HATHAT
GF total161733171027
GF avg2.02.12.11.91.41.7
GA total6410121426
GA avg0.80.50.61.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBenficaEstoril
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%50%69%88%
1.563%13%50%44%
2.531%0%31%25%
3.513%0%19%6%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBenficaEstoril
HATHAT
Clean sheets358112
Failed to score011235

Penalties

MetricBenficaEstoril
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total82

Streaks

MetricBenficaEstoril
Wins32
Draws12
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-10-4
Biggest losses——0-14-0
Goals For5444
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricBenficaEstoril
Form61%39%
Att56%44%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h93%7%
Goals77%23%
Total72.2%27.8%

Advice: Double chance : Benfica or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.24 @ 1xBet
Draw7.57 @ Pinnacle
Away16.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Betano
Under 2.52.73 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Marathonbet
No1.80 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Benfica = 2.83 (league 1.41), Estoril = 0.89 (league 1.25)

Estoril
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.8% 6.1% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.7% 8.6% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 9.1% 8.2% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.5% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 9.0%

vtt 3 , vtd1