Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 18:00 • Estádio José Gomes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.43) 1.59 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.5% 25.2% 52.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.1%
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 2
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
SC Braga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela 0 8.3% 13.1% 10.4% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.4% 5.4% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstrelaSC Braga
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack47%60%
Defense33%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estrela SC Braga
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%25%25%50%38%44%
Draws38%38%38%25%38%31%
Loses38%38%38%25%25%25%

Form: Estrela: DLDDLDWLLWDLWLDW • SC Braga: WWDDLDLDWLWWWWLD

League goals

Metric Estrela SC Braga
HATHAT
GF total101020141428
GF avg1.31.31.31.81.81.8
GA total915247815
GA avg1.11.91.50.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstrelaSC Braga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%75%81%69%
1.531%50%56%25%
2.525%19%25%0%
3.56%6%13%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstrelaSC Braga
HATHAT
Clean sheets224325
Failed to score347213

Penalties

MetricEstrelaSC Braga
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total37

Streaks

MetricEstrelaSC Braga
Wins14
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-03-54-00-4
Biggest losses0-24-00-12-1
Goals For3544
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricEstrelaSC Braga
Form41%59%
Att44%56%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total31.7%68.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SC Braga

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.40 @ Unibet
Draw4.15 @ Betano
Away1.62 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ SBO
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Unibet
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estrela = 0.91 (league 1.43), SC Braga = 1.59 (league 1.25)

SC Braga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela 0 8.3% 13.1% 10.4% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.4% 5.4% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.5% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 52.7%

vtt 3 , vtd1