Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 18:00 •
Estádio José Gomes
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.38)
1.59 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.2% | 25.1% | 52.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.6%
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 2
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| SC Braga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estrela | 0 | 7.9% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Estrela | SC Braga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 80% |
| Attack | 42% | 75% |
| Defense | 25% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Estrela | SC Braga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 25% | 14% | 20% | 57% | 38% | 47% |
| Draws | 38% | 43% | 40% | 14% | 38% | 27% |
| Loses | 38% | 43% | 40% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
Form: Estrela: DLDDLDWLLWDLWLD • SC Braga: WWDDLDLDWLWWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Estrela | SC Braga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 9 | 13 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Estrela | SC Braga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 53% | 73% | 80% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 47% | 53% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 27% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Estrela | SC Braga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Estrela | SC Braga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Estrela | SC Braga |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 3-5 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Estrela | SC Braga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 27.8% | 72.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or SC Braga
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Estrela = 0.94 (league 1.38), SC Braga = 1.59 (league 1.24)
| SC Braga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estrela | 0 | 7.9% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.2% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 52.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1