Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:30 • Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.44) 1.51 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.2% 25.2% 42.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
9.5%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Casa Pia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rio Ave 0 6.3% 9.5% 7.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
1 7.9% 11.9% 9.0% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.9% 7.5% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRio AveCasa Pia
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack26%16%
Defense53%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rio Ave Casa Pia
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins14%22%19%0%38%19%
Draws43%56%50%50%13%31%
Loses43%22%31%50%50%50%

Form: Rio Ave: DDDLLDDWWLDDWLDL • Casa Pia: LWLLWDLDLLDLLDWD

League goals

Metric Rio Ave Casa Pia
HATHAT
GF total712197916
GF avg1.01.31.20.91.11.0
GA total121628151429
GA avg1.71.81.81.91.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRio AveCasa Pia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%88%56%81%
1.538%44%38%56%
2.513%31%6%19%
3.50%13%0%19%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRio AveCasa Pia
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score325437

Penalties

MetricRio AveCasa Pia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricRio AveCasa Pia
Wins21
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-2—0-2
Biggest losses0-44-03-54-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against4454

Model comparison

MetricRio AveCasa Pia
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total52.2%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Rio Ave or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.11 @ Pinnacle
Away3.35 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Unibet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rio Ave = 1.25 (league 1.44), Casa Pia = 1.51 (league 1.23)

Casa Pia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rio Ave 0 6.3% 9.5% 7.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
1 7.9% 11.9% 9.0% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.9% 7.5% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.2% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 42.9%

vtt 5 , vtd1