Mon, Jan 19 2026 • 20:15 • Estádio José Gomes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.42) 1.46 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.7% 21.2% 26.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 1
8.9%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Estoril
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela 0 2.9% 4.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.1% 8.9% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.3% 9.2% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
3 4.3% 6.3% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.2% 3.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstrelaEstoril
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estrela Estoril
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins22%25%24%44%13%29%
Draws44%38%41%33%25%29%
Loses33%38%35%22%63%41%

Form: Estrela: DLDDLDWLLWDLWLDWD • Estoril: DLDLWLLDDWWLDLWWL

League goals

Metric Estrela Estoril
HATHAT
GF total131023171128
GF avg1.41.31.41.91.41.6
GA total121527121729
GA avg1.31.91.61.32.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstrelaEstoril
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%76%71%88%
1.535%53%47%47%
2.529%24%29%29%
3.56%6%18%6%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstrelaEstoril
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score347235

Penalties

MetricEstrelaEstoril
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricEstrelaEstoril
Wins12
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-03-54-10-4
Biggest losses0-24-00-14-0
Goals For3544
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricEstrelaEstoril
Form53%47%
Att53%47%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h29%71%
Goals31%69%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Estoril and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away2.52 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.37 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estrela = 2.07 (league 1.42), Estoril = 1.46 (league 1.25)

Estoril
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela 0 2.9% 4.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.1% 8.9% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.3% 9.2% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
3 4.3% 6.3% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.2% 3.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.7% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 26.7%

vtt 11 , vtd1