Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 20:15 • Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Match Finished
3 - 3

AVS

Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.42) 0.75 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.4% 20.6% 13.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.9%
2 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
AVS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casa Pia 0 6.6% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.9% 9.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.3% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasa PiaAVS
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack40%20%
Defense20%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casa Pia AVS
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins0%30%17%0%0%0%
Draws50%10%28%30%13%22%
Loses50%60%56%70%88%78%

Form: Casa Pia: LWLLWDLDLLDLLDWDLL • AVS: LLDLLLLLLDDLLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Casa Pia AVS
HATHAT
GF total710177411
GF avg0.91.00.90.70.50.6
GA total152035192544
GA avg1.92.01.91.93.12.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasa PiaAVS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%83%44%100%
1.533%61%17%83%
2.56%28%0%39%
3.50%17%0%11%
4.50%6%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasa PiaAVS
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score4485510

Penalties

MetricCasa PiaAVS
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCasa PiaAVS
Wins10
Draws12
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-2——
Biggest losses3-54-00-36-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against5436

Model comparison

MetricCasa PiaAVS
Form83%17%
Att67%33%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total70.5%29.5%

Advice: Double chance : Casa Pia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ 1xBet
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away4.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.43 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.64 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casa Pia = 1.97 (league 1.42), AVS = 0.75 (league 1.26)

AVS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casa Pia 0 6.6% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.9% 9.8% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.3% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.4% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 13.5%

vtt 5 , vtd3