Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 15:30 • Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.41) 1.01 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.8% 24.0% 22.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Santa Clara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moreirense 0 6.7% 6.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.4% 11.4% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.7% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMoreirenseSanta Clara
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack50%38%
Defense25%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Moreirense Santa Clara
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins63%30%44%30%13%22%
Draws13%20%17%20%38%28%
Loses25%50%39%50%50%50%

Form: Moreirense: WWWLWLWLLWLDDLDWWL • Santa Clara: LLDWDWLLWLLDWLDLDL

League goals

Metric Moreirense Santa Clara
HATHAT
GF total1312257714
GF avg1.61.21.40.70.90.8
GA total11152681220
GA avg1.41.51.40.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMoreirenseSanta Clara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%56%72%
1.550%50%17%28%
2.511%22%6%11%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMoreirenseSanta Clara
HATHAT
Clean sheets246415
Failed to score134538

Penalties

MetricMoreirenseSanta Clara
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricMoreirenseSanta Clara
Wins31
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-00-1
Biggest losses0-43-01-23-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricMoreirenseSanta Clara
Form78%22%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Moreirense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.90 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.80 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.47 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Moreirense = 1.70 (league 1.41), Santa Clara = 1.01 (league 1.25)

Santa Clara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moreirense 0 6.7% 6.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.4% 11.4% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.7% 9.7% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.8% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 22.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1