Sat, Jan 31 2026 • 20:30 •
FC Alverca Sports Complex
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.45)
1.29 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.9% | 26.4% | 36.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
9.7%
0 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Estrela | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alverca | 0 | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alverca | Estrela |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 25% | 38% |
| Defense | 19% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alverca | Estrela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 50% | 22% | 37% | 20% | 22% | 21% |
| Draws | 10% | 11% | 11% | 40% | 33% | 37% |
| Loses | 40% | 67% | 53% | 40% | 44% | 42% |
AlvercaLLDLWLWWLLDWWLLLWWL
EstrelaDLDDLDWLLWDLWLDWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Alverca | Estrela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 14 | 19 | 33 | 17 | 19 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alverca | Estrela | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 74% | 53% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 53% | 32% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 26% | 26% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 16% | 5% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alverca | Estrela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alverca | Estrela |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alverca | Estrela |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 3-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alverca | Estrela |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 52% | 48% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 49.5% | 50.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.01 @ 188Bet
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away4.77 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.82 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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