Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 20:30 • Estádio João Cardoso
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.20 (league 1.43) 2.36 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.1% 11.8% 82.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
21.6%
0 - 1
18.4%
0 - 3
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tondela 0 7.8% 18.4% 21.6% 17.0% 10.0% 4.7%
1 1.5% 3.6% 4.2% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTondelaBenfica
Played55
Form20%87%
Attack27%80%
Defense47%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tondela Benfica
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins11%20%16%60%78%68%
Draws22%10%16%40%22%32%
Loses67%70%68%0%0%0%

Form: Tondela: LLLDLDWLLDLWLLLWLLL • Benfica: WWWDWDWDWWDWDWWDWWW

League goals

Metric Tondela Benfica
HATHAT
GF total6612231942
GF avg0.70.60.62.32.12.2
GA total1320337411
GA avg1.42.01.70.70.40.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTondelaBenfica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.537%89%95%47%
1.521%53%68%11%
2.55%32%37%0%
3.50%0%16%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTondelaBenfica
HATHAT
Clean sheets1124610
Failed to score6612011

Penalties

MetricTondelaBenfica
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%10 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total410

Streaks

MetricTondelaBenfica
Wins13
Draws11
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-25-00-4
Biggest losses0-33-0——
Goals For3254
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricTondelaBenfica
Form19%81%
Att25%75%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution8%92%
H2h0%100%
Goals13%87%
Total18.4%81.6%

Advice: Winner : Benfica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home11.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.78 @ 1xBet
Away1.35 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.09 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.37 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tondela = 0.20 (league 1.43), Benfica = 2.36 (league 1.25)

Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tondela 0 7.8% 18.4% 21.6% 17.0% 10.0% 4.7%
1 1.5% 3.6% 4.2% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.1% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 82.8%

vtt 6 , vtd1