Fri, Jan 30 2026 • 20:45 •
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.42)
1.33 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.3% | 25.1% | 33.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
8.9%
2 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Moreirense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guimaraes | 0 | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guimaraes | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 29% | 29% |
| Defense | 57% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guimaraes | Moreirense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| Wins | 40% | 38% | 39% | 63% | 30% | 44% |
| Draws | 30% | 13% | 22% | 13% | 20% | 17% |
| Loses | 30% | 50% | 39% | 25% | 50% | 39% |
Form: Guimaraes: LWLDWDLWLLWWDWLDWL • Moreirense: WWWLWLWLLWLDDLDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Guimaraes | Moreirense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 14 | 9 | 23 | 11 | 15 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guimaraes | Moreirense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 67% | 78% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 39% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 17% | 11% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guimaraes | Moreirense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guimaraes | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guimaraes | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guimaraes | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 49.5% | 50.5% |
Advice: No predictions available
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guimaraes = 1.48 (league 1.42), Moreirense = 1.33 (league 1.26)
| Moreirense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guimaraes | 0 | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.3% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 33.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1