Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:30 • Estádio José Gomes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.43) 1.09 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.3% 27.8% 31.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
12.0%
0 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Santa Clara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela 0 9.4% 10.3% 5.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.0% 13.1% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.6% 8.3% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstrelaSanta Clara
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack47%33%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 310 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estrela Santa Clara
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins20%20%20%27%11%20%
Draws40%40%40%18%33%25%
Loses40%40%40%55%56%55%

Form: Estrela: DLDDLDWLLWDLWLDWDLLD • Santa Clara: LLDWDWLLWLLDWLDLDLLL

League goals

Metric Estrela Santa Clara
HATHAT
GF total1311249716
GF avg1.31.11.20.80.80.8
GA total172037121325
GA avg1.72.01.91.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstrelaSanta Clara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%80%55%75%
1.530%55%20%30%
2.525%30%5%15%
3.55%15%0%5%
4.55%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstrelaSanta Clara
HATHAT
Clean sheets224415
Failed to score459549

Penalties

MetricEstrelaSanta Clara
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricEstrelaSanta Clara
Wins11
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-03-52-00-1
Biggest losses0-54-02-43-0
Goals For3523
Goals Against5443

Model comparison

MetricEstrelaSanta Clara
Form83%17%
Att58%42%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h29%71%
Goals0%100%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Santa Clara

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.04 @ 1xBet
Away2.29 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.68 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estrela = 1.27 (league 1.43), Santa Clara = 1.09 (league 1.25)

Santa Clara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela 0 9.4% 10.3% 5.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.0% 13.1% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.6% 8.3% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.3% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 31.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1