Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:30 • Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.44) 1.16 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.3% 29.3% 39.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
GIL Vicente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moreirense 0 11.5% 13.4% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.5% 13.4% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.8% 6.7% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMoreirenseGIL Vicente
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack33%67%
Defense80%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Moreirense GIL Vicente
HATHAT
Played91120101020
Wins67%27%45%60%30%45%
Draws11%18%15%20%50%35%
Loses22%55%40%20%20%20%

Form: Moreirense: WWWLWLWLLWLDDLDWWLWL • GIL Vicente: WLDWWWLWWWDLDDDDDWLW

League goals

Metric Moreirense GIL Vicente
HATHAT
GF total141226171229
GF avg1.61.11.31.71.21.5
GA total1116277916
GA avg1.21.51.40.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMoreirenseGIL Vicente
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%65%75%50%
1.545%45%45%25%
2.510%20%10%5%
3.50%5%10%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMoreirenseGIL Vicente
HATHAT
Clean sheets3475510
Failed to score145235

Penalties

MetricMoreirenseGIL Vicente
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricMoreirenseGIL Vicente
Wins33
Draws25
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-25-00-4
Biggest losses0-43-00-23-0
Goals For3354
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricMoreirenseGIL Vicente
Form53%47%
Att33%67%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h40%60%
Goals40%60%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or GIL Vicente

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.17 @ 1xBet
Away2.15 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Betfair
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Moreirense = 1.00 (league 1.44), GIL Vicente = 1.16 (league 1.24)

GIL Vicente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moreirense 0 11.5% 13.4% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.5% 13.4% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.8% 6.7% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 39.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1