Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 20:30 • Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.43) 1.12 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.3% 28.3% 34.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
11.8%
0 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
SC Braga
0 1 2 3 4 5
GIL Vicente 0 9.9% 11.2% 6.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1%
1 11.8% 13.2% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.0% 7.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGIL VicenteSC Braga
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack63%100%
Defense63%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 216 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GIL Vicente SC Braga
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins60%36%48%60%45%52%
Draws20%45%33%20%36%29%
Loses20%18%19%20%18%19%

Form: GIL Vicente: WLDWWWLWWWDLDDDDDWLWW • SC Braga: WWDDLDLDWLWWWWLDDWWWW

League goals

Metric GIL Vicente SC Braga
HATHAT
GF total171431222244
GF avg1.71.31.52.22.02.1
GA total7101771118
GA avg0.70.90.80.71.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGIL VicenteSC Braga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%52%86%57%
1.548%24%62%24%
2.510%5%38%5%
3.510%0%19%0%
4.55%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGIL VicenteSC Braga
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510549
Failed to score235213

Penalties

MetricGIL VicenteSC Braga
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%10 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total410

Streaks

MetricGIL VicenteSC Braga
Wins34
Draws52
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-45-00-4
Biggest losses0-23-00-12-1
Goals For5454
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricGIL VicenteSC Braga
Form43%57%
Att38%62%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SC Braga

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 1xBet
Away2.20 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): GIL Vicente = 1.19 (league 1.43), SC Braga = 1.12 (league 1.25)

SC Braga
0 1 2 3 4 5
GIL Vicente 0 9.9% 11.2% 6.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1%
1 11.8% 13.2% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.0% 7.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.3% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 34.1%

vtt 5 , vtd1