Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 20:15 • Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.45) 1.61 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.4% 24.9% 50.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Moreirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rio Ave 0 7.1% 11.5% 9.2% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
1 7.4% 11.9% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7%
2 3.8% 6.1% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRio AveMoreirense
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack27%36%
Defense0%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rio Ave Moreirense
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins20%18%19%60%27%43%
Draws30%45%38%10%18%14%
Loses50%36%43%30%55%43%

Form: Rio Ave: DDDLLDDWWLDDWLDLWLLLL • Moreirense: WWWLWLWLLWLDDLDWWLWLL

League goals

Metric Rio Ave Moreirense
HATHAT
GF total101222151227
GF avg1.01.11.01.51.11.3
GA total182341131629
GA avg1.82.12.01.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRio AveMoreirense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%90%76%67%
1.533%52%43%48%
2.514%38%10%19%
3.50%14%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRio AveMoreirense
HATHAT
Clean sheets112347
Failed to score549145

Penalties

MetricRio AveMoreirense
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricRio AveMoreirense
Wins23
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-10-2
Biggest losses0-44-00-43-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricRio AveMoreirense
Form33%67%
Att43%57%
Def28%72%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total40.3%59.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Moreirense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rio Ave = 1.03 (league 1.45), Moreirense = 1.61 (league 1.23)

Moreirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rio Ave 0 7.1% 11.5% 9.2% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
1 7.4% 11.9% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7%
2 3.8% 6.1% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.4% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 50.1%

vtt 5 , vtd1