Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 20:15 • Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.43) 0.58 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.4% 17.7% 8.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.1%
1 - 0
14.2%
3 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Casa Pia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Famalicao 0 6.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.2% 8.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.1% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.8% 6.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFamalicaoCasa Pia
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack44%50%
Defense56%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Famalicao Casa Pia
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins45%36%41%18%27%23%
Draws18%27%23%45%18%32%
Loses36%36%36%36%55%45%

Form: Famalicao: WWDWLDDDWWLDLWLLLWWLWL • Casa Pia: LWLLWDLDLLDLLDWDLLDWDW

League goals

Metric Famalicao Casa Pia
HATHAT
GF total19827151025
GF avg1.70.71.21.40.91.1
GA total91221212041
GA avg0.81.11.01.91.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFamalicaoCasa Pia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%55%59%82%
1.532%23%41%59%
2.518%9%14%27%
3.55%5%0%14%
4.50%5%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFamalicaoCasa Pia
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410134
Failed to score347459

Penalties

MetricFamalicaoCasa Pia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricFamalicaoCasa Pia
Wins21
Draws31
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-13-20-2
Biggest losses2-35-03-54-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against3554

Model comparison

MetricFamalicaoCasa Pia
Form53%47%
Att47%53%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Double chance : Famalicao or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ 188Bet
Draw4.17 @ Pinnacle
Away6.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Famalicao = 2.14 (league 1.43), Casa Pia = 0.58 (league 1.25)

Casa Pia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Famalicao 0 6.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.2% 8.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.1% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.8% 6.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.4% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 8.7%

vtt 7 , vtd1