Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 20:30 • Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.43) 1.02 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.9% 32.6% 40.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.0%
0 - 0
16.7%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Famalicao
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rio Ave 0 16.7% 17.0% 8.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.9% 13.1% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.0% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRio AveFamalicao
Played55
Form0%60%
Attack8%67%
Defense0%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rio Ave Famalicao
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins18%17%17%50%36%43%
Draws27%42%35%17%27%22%
Loses55%42%48%33%36%35%

Form: Rio Ave: DDDLLDDWWLDDWLDLWLLLLLL • Famalicao: WWDWLDDDWWLDLWLLLWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Rio Ave Famalicao
HATHAT
GF total11122321829
GF avg1.01.01.01.80.71.3
GA total20244491221
GA avg1.82.01.90.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRio AveFamalicao
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%91%70%52%
1.530%52%35%22%
2.513%35%17%9%
3.50%13%4%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRio AveFamalicao
HATHAT
Clean sheets1127411
Failed to score5510347

Penalties

MetricRio AveFamalicao
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricRio AveFamalicao
Wins22
Draws33
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-24-00-1
Biggest losses0-44-02-35-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricRio AveFamalicao
Form0%100%
Att11%89%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%63%
Total29.8%70.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Famalicao

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.81 @ Pinnacle
Away1.93 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rio Ave = 0.77 (league 1.43), Famalicao = 1.02 (league 1.24)

Famalicao
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rio Ave 0 16.7% 17.0% 8.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.9% 13.1% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.0% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 40.3%

vtt 12 , vtd1