Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 15:30 • Estádio João Cardoso
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.43) 0.73 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.8% 39.6% 34.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.8%
0 - 1
19.6%
1 - 0
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Santa Clara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tondela 0 26.8% 19.6% 7.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.7% 11.5% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTondelaSanta Clara
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack42%33%
Defense50%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tondela Santa Clara
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins9%25%17%25%9%17%
Draws36%17%26%17%36%26%
Loses55%58%57%58%55%57%

Form: Tondela: LLLDLDWLLDLWLLLWLLLDDDW • Santa Clara: LLDWDWLLWLLDWLDLDLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Tondela Santa Clara
HATHAT
GF total7101710818
GF avg0.60.80.70.80.70.8
GA total142236141529
GA avg1.31.81.61.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTondelaSanta Clara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%83%57%78%
1.526%48%17%30%
2.54%26%4%13%
3.50%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTondelaSanta Clara
HATHAT
Clean sheets224415
Failed to score76135510

Penalties

MetricTondelaSanta Clara
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricTondelaSanta Clara
Wins11
Draws31
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-00-1
Biggest losses0-33-02-43-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricTondelaSanta Clara
Form86%14%
Att56%44%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total58.3%41.7%

Advice: Double chance : Tondela or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.53 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Pinnacle
No1.73 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tondela = 0.59 (league 1.43), Santa Clara = 0.73 (league 1.25)

Santa Clara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tondela 0 26.8% 19.6% 7.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.7% 11.5% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.8% · Draw 39.6% · Away win 34.6%

vtt 8 , vtd1