Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 18:00 • Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.43) 1.07 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.5% 33.7% 49.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.7%
0 - 0
21.3%
0 - 2
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
FC Porto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 21.3% 22.7% 12.1% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.3% 10.9% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBenficaFC Porto
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack82%64%
Defense73%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Benfica FC Porto
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins67%75%71%83%92%88%
Draws33%25%29%17%0%8%
Loses0%0%0%0%8%4%

Form: Benfica: WWWDWDWDWWDWDWWDWWWDWWWW • FC Porto: WWWWWWWDWWWWWWWWWWWLDWWW

League goals

Metric Benfica FC Porto
HATHAT
GF total282351242347
GF avg2.31.92.12.01.92.0
GA total8614448
GA avg0.70.50.60.30.30.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBenficaFC Porto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%50%96%29%
1.571%8%58%4%
2.533%0%33%0%
3.513%0%8%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBenficaFC Porto
HATHAT
Clean sheets57128917
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricBenficaFC Porto
Scored (total | %)10 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total107

Streaks

MetricBenficaFC Porto
Wins311
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-00-4
Biggest losses———2-1
Goals For5444
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricBenficaFC Porto
Form57%43%
Att56%44%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Porto

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ 1xBet
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.58 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Benfica = 0.48 (league 1.43), FC Porto = 1.07 (league 1.25)

FC Porto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 21.3% 22.7% 12.1% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.3% 10.9% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.5% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 49.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1