Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:30 • Estádio José Gomes
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.43) 1.67 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.7% 24.3% 54.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 1
11.5%
0 - 2
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
GIL Vicente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela 0 7.5% 12.5% 10.4% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.6% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.2% 5.3% 4.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstrelaGIL Vicente
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack27%100%
Defense55%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estrela GIL Vicente
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins25%17%21%58%33%46%
Draws33%42%38%17%42%29%
Loses42%42%42%25%25%25%

Form: Estrela: DLDDLDWLLWDLWLDWDLLDWLLD • GIL Vicente: WLDWWWLWWWDLDDDDDWLWWWLL

League goals

Metric Estrela GIL Vicente
HATHAT
GF total141226201535
GF avg1.21.01.11.71.31.5
GA total192241101323
GA avg1.61.81.70.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstrelaGIL Vicente
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%75%79%58%
1.525%54%46%29%
2.521%25%8%8%
3.54%13%8%0%
4.54%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstrelaGIL Vicente
HATHAT
Clean sheets3365510
Failed to score5611235

Penalties

MetricEstrelaGIL Vicente
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricEstrelaGIL Vicente
Wins13
Draws25
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-03-55-00-4
Biggest losses0-54-00-23-0
Goals For3554
Goals Against5423

Model comparison

MetricEstrelaGIL Vicente
Form36%64%
Att21%79%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h38%62%
Goals30%70%
Total36.2%63.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or GIL Vicente

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.75 @ Bet365
Draw3.48 @ 1xBet
Away1.91 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.70 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Estrela = 0.92 (league 1.43), GIL Vicente = 1.67 (league 1.24)

GIL Vicente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estrela 0 7.5% 12.5% 10.4% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.6% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7%
2 3.2% 5.3% 4.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.7% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 54.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1