Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 20:30 • Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.43) 2.90 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.9% 10.1% 78.6%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.2%
0 - 3
13.7%
0 - 4
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arouca 0 3.4% 9.8% 14.2% 13.7% 10.0% 5.8%
1 1.6% 4.8% 6.9% 6.7% 4.9% 2.8%
2 0.4% 1.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAroucaBenfica
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack64%79%
Defense36%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arouca Benfica
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%23%28%62%75%68%
Draws25%15%20%38%25%32%
Loses42%62%52%0%0%0%

Form: Arouca: WLDDLWLDLLLLLWDDLWLWWLWLL • Benfica: WWWDWDWDWWDWDWWDWWWDWWWWD

League goals

Metric Arouca Benfica
HATHAT
GF total171532302353
GF avg1.41.21.32.31.92.1
GA total23305310616
GA avg1.92.32.10.80.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAroucaBenfica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%80%92%52%
1.536%60%72%12%
2.524%40%32%0%
3.50%20%12%0%
4.50%8%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAroucaBenfica
HATHAT
Clean sheets2355712
Failed to score448022

Penalties

MetricAroucaBenfica
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%10 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total010

Streaks

MetricAroucaBenfica
Wins24
Draws21
Losses50

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-00-4
Biggest losses0-46-0——
Goals For3354
Goals Against4622

Model comparison

MetricAroucaBenfica
Form32%68%
Att45%55%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution13%87%
H2h7%93%
Goals11%89%
Total24.0%76.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Benfica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home13.00 @ 10Bet
Draw6.26 @ 1xBet
Away1.29 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.36 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arouca = 0.49 (league 1.43), Benfica = 2.90 (league 1.24)

Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arouca 0 3.4% 9.8% 14.2% 13.7% 10.0% 5.8%
1 1.6% 4.8% 6.9% 6.7% 4.9% 2.8%
2 0.4% 1.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.9% · Draw 10.1% · Away win 78.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1