Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 20:30 • Estádio Do Dragão
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.43) 0.29 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.4% 17.5% 4.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.7%
2 - 0
20.3%
3 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Moreirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Porto 0 10.6% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.7% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.3% 5.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC PortoMoreirense
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack73%45%
Defense64%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Porto Moreirense
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins83%85%84%50%31%40%
Draws17%8%12%17%23%20%
Loses0%8%4%33%46%40%

Form: FC Porto: WWWWWWWDWWWWWWWWWWWLDWWWD • Moreirense: WWWLWLWLLWLDDLDWWLWLLWLDD

League goals

Metric FC Porto Moreirense
HATHAT
GF total242549161531
GF avg2.01.92.01.31.21.2
GA total4610171835
GA avg0.30.50.41.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC PortoMoreirense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.596%32%76%72%
1.560%8%40%44%
2.532%0%8%20%
3.58%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC PortoMoreirense
HATHAT
Clean sheets8917347
Failed to score101246

Penalties

MetricFC PortoMoreirense
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total71

Streaks

MetricFC PortoMoreirense
Wins113
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-10-2
Biggest losses—2-10-43-0
Goals For4433
Goals Against1243

Model comparison

MetricFC PortoMoreirense
Form69%31%
Att62%38%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h80%20%
Goals73%27%
Total72.7%27.3%

Advice: Double chance : FC Porto or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.21 @ Betano
Draw7.31 @ 1xBet
Away20.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.84 @ Marathonbet
No1.50 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Porto = 1.95 (league 1.43), Moreirense = 0.29 (league 1.24)

Moreirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Porto 0 10.6% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.7% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.3% 5.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.2% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.4% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 4.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1