Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 15:30 • Estádio José Alvalade
Match Postponed
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Expected Goals
3.77 (league 1.43) 0.19 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.9% 3.6% 0.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
17.0%
4 - 0
16.0%
2 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Tondela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.5% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.0% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 16.0% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.1% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CPTondela
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack91%64%
Defense73%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting CP Tondela
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins83%69%76%8%25%16%
Draws8%31%20%38%17%28%
Loses8%0%4%54%58%56%

Form: Sporting CP: WWWLWWWDWWWWDWWWDWWWDWWWD • Tondela: LLLDLDWLLDLWLLLWLLLDDDWDL

League goals

Metric Sporting CP Tondela
HATHAT
GF total36286491019
GF avg3.02.22.60.70.80.8
GA total41014172239
GA avg0.30.80.61.31.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CPTondela
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%48%44%84%
1.572%8%28%48%
2.544%0%4%24%
3.524%0%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CPTondela
HATHAT
Clean sheets9413224
Failed to score0008614

Penalties

MetricSporting CPTondela
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricSporting CPTondela
Wins41
Draws13
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-43-10-2
Biggest losses1-2—0-33-0
Goals For6432
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricSporting CPTondela
Form65%35%
Att59%41%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h100%0%
Goals88%13%
Total74.6%25.6%

Advice: Winner : Sporting CP

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.15 @ William Hill
Draw8.75 @ 1xBet
Away22.00 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.70 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP = 3.77 (league 1.43), Tondela = 0.19 (league 1.24)

Tondela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.5% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.0% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 16.0% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.1% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.9% · Draw 3.6% · Away win 0.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1