Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:30 • Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.43) 0.68 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.5% 33.9% 24.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.0%
1 - 0
18.7%
0 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Famalicao
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes 0 19.0% 12.9% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.7% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.2% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuimaraesFamalicao
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack64%55%
Defense9%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guimaraes Famalicao
HATHAT
Played131225131225
Wins46%25%36%54%33%44%
Draws31%8%20%15%33%24%
Loses23%67%44%31%33%32%

Form: Guimaraes: LWLDWDLWLLWWDWLDWLLWLWLDL • Famalicao: WWDWLDDDWWLDLWLLLWWLWLWDW

League goals

Metric Guimaraes Famalicao
HATHAT
GF total18102822830
GF avg1.40.81.11.70.71.2
GA total16213791221
GA avg1.21.81.50.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuimaraesFamalicao
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%72%68%48%
1.536%44%32%20%
2.58%24%16%8%
3.54%8%4%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuimaraesFamalicao
HATHAT
Clean sheets3478513
Failed to score369358

Penalties

MetricGuimaraesFamalicao
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricGuimaraesFamalicao
Wins22
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-24-00-1
Biggest losses1-43-02-35-0
Goals For4242
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricGuimaraesFamalicao
Form29%71%
Att54%46%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : Guimaraes or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away2.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No2.04 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guimaraes = 0.98 (league 1.43), Famalicao = 0.68 (league 1.24)

Famalicao
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes 0 19.0% 12.9% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.7% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.2% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.5% · Draw 33.9% · Away win 24.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1