Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 20:15 •
Estádio José Gomes
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.45)
1.08 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.2% | 26.6% | 28.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
11.7%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Casa Pia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estrela | 0 | 8.3% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Estrela | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 40% |
| Attack | 36% | 36% |
| Defense | 27% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Estrela | Casa Pia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 23% | 15% | 19% | 17% | 23% | 20% |
| Draws | 38% | 38% | 38% | 50% | 23% | 36% |
| Loses | 38% | 46% | 42% | 33% | 54% | 44% |
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Casa PiaLWLLWDLDLLDLLDWDLLDWDWLDD
League goals
| Metric | Estrela | Casa Pia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 13 | 29 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 21 | 24 | 45 | 22 | 22 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Estrela | Casa Pia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 77% | 56% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 58% | 36% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 23% | 12% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 12% | 0% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Estrela | Casa Pia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Estrela | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Estrela | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 3-5 | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 4-0 | 3-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Estrela | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 48.5% | 51.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.69 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.04 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ SBO
Under 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Bet365
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League standings
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