Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 19:45 • Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.43) 2.76 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.0% 10.9% 79.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
15.3%
0 - 3
14.1%
0 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casa Pia 0 4.0% 11.1% 15.3% 14.1% 9.7% 5.4%
1 1.8% 5.0% 7.0% 6.4% 4.4% 2.4%
2 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.6%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasa PiaBenfica
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack33%100%
Defense25%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casa Pia Benfica
HATHAT
Played121426141327
Wins17%21%19%64%77%70%
Draws50%21%35%36%23%30%
Loses33%57%46%0%0%0%

Form: Casa Pia: LWLLWDLDLLDLLDWDLLDWDWLDDL • Benfica: WWWDWDWDWWDWDWWDWWWDWWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Casa Pia Benfica
HATHAT
GF total161026332558
GF avg1.30.71.02.41.92.1
GA total22264810717
GA avg1.81.91.80.70.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasa PiaBenfica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%81%93%52%
1.535%58%74%11%
2.512%27%33%0%
3.50%15%11%0%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasa PiaBenfica
HATHAT
Clean sheets1456713
Failed to score4812022

Penalties

MetricCasa PiaBenfica
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%10 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total210

Streaks

MetricCasa PiaBenfica
Wins14
Draws21
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-25-00-4
Biggest losses3-54-0——
Goals For3254
Goals Against5422

Model comparison

MetricCasa PiaBenfica
Form28%72%
Att25%75%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution14%86%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total29.8%70.2%

Advice: Winner : Benfica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home13.00 @ 10Bet
Draw6.25 @ Unibet
Away1.30 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Unibet
No1.80 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casa Pia = 0.46 (league 1.43), Benfica = 2.76 (league 1.24)

Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casa Pia 0 4.0% 11.1% 15.3% 14.1% 9.7% 5.4%
1 1.8% 5.0% 7.0% 6.4% 4.4% 2.4%
2 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.6%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.0% · Draw 10.9% · Away win 79.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1