Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 14:30 • FC Alverca Sports Complex
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.45) 0.79 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.8% 30.3% 24.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.4%
0 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Casa Pia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alverca 0 13.9% 11.0% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.4% 13.0% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.7% 7.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlvercaCasa Pia
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack38%25%
Defense50%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alverca Casa Pia
HATHAT
Played141428121426
Wins36%21%29%17%21%19%
Draws29%29%29%50%21%35%
Loses36%50%43%33%57%46%

Form: Alverca: LLDLWLWWLLDWWLLLWWLDLDDDDDLW • Casa Pia: LWLLWDLDLLDLLDWDLLDWDWLDDL

League goals

Metric Alverca Casa Pia
HATHAT
GF total121729161026
GF avg0.91.21.01.30.71.0
GA total202646222648
GA avg1.41.91.61.81.91.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlvercaCasa Pia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%79%54%81%
1.525%46%35%58%
2.54%21%12%27%
3.50%14%0%15%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlvercaCasa Pia
HATHAT
Clean sheets516145
Failed to score4374812

Penalties

MetricAlvercaCasa Pia
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricAlvercaCasa Pia
Wins21
Draws52
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-20-2
Biggest losses0-45-03-54-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against4554

Model comparison

MetricAlvercaCasa Pia
Form55%45%
Att60%40%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Alverca or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Unibet
Draw3.45 @ 1xBet
Away4.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.75 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.90 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alverca = 1.18 (league 1.45), Casa Pia = 0.79 (league 1.23)

Casa Pia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alverca 0 13.9% 11.0% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.4% 13.0% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.7% 7.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.8% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 24.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1