Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 17:00 • Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Not Started
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Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.45) 0.51 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.3% 17.0% 7.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.2%
1 - 0
15.0%
3 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 7.0% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.0% 7.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 8.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.6% 5.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBenficaNacional
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack67%27%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Benfica Nacional
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins64%71%68%29%14%21%
Draws36%29%32%14%36%25%
Loses0%0%0%57%50%54%

Form: Benfica: WWWDWDWDWWDWDWWDWWWDWWWWDWWD • Nacional: LDLWLLWWDLDLLWDLDLWLDLLLDLLW

League goals

Metric Benfica Nacional
HATHAT
GF total332659191231
GF avg2.41.92.11.40.91.1
GA total10818211839
GA avg0.70.60.61.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBenficaNacional
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%54%68%82%
1.571%11%25%43%
2.532%0%14%11%
3.511%0%4%4%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBenficaNacional
HATHAT
Clean sheets6713325
Failed to score022549

Penalties

MetricBenficaNacional
Scored (total | %)10 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total105

Streaks

MetricBenficaNacional
Wins42
Draws11
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-00-2
Biggest losses——1-43-0
Goals For5442
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricBenficaNacional
Form73%27%
Att71%29%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h93%7%
Goals79%21%
Total74.3%25.7%

Advice: Double chance : Benfica or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.16 @ 10Bet
Draw10.10 @ 1xBet
Away21.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.38 @ Betano
Under 2.53.30 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Benfica = 2.15 (league 1.45), Nacional = 0.51 (league 1.23)

Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 7.0% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.0% 7.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 8.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.6% 5.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.3% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 7.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1