Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 17:00 • Estádio Municipal de Braga
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
3.21 (league 1.44) 0.89 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.4% 11.1% 6.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.1%
2 - 0
8.5%
3 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Arouca
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Braga 0 1.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.3% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.5% 7.6% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 8.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.3% 6.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.7% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC BragaArouca
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack60%40%
Defense53%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Braga Arouca
HATHAT
Played131427141428
Wins54%50%52%36%29%32%
Draws23%29%26%21%14%18%
Loses23%21%22%43%57%50%

Form: SC Braga: WWDDLDLDWLWWWWLDDWWWWLWWDLW • Arouca: WLDDLWLDLLLLLWDDLWLWWLWLLLWW

League goals

Metric SC Braga Arouca
HATHAT
GF total282654211637
GF avg2.21.92.01.51.11.3
GA total131427273057
GA avg1.01.01.01.92.12.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC BragaArouca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%63%71%79%
1.559%33%36%61%
2.533%4%25%36%
3.515%0%0%18%
4.54%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC BragaArouca
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510246
Failed to score213448

Penalties

MetricSC BragaArouca
Scored (total | %)14 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total141

Streaks

MetricSC BragaArouca
Wins42
Draws22
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-43-00-3
Biggest losses1-22-10-46-0
Goals For5433
Goals Against2346

Model comparison

MetricSC BragaArouca
Form63%38%
Att60%40%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h80%20%
Goals64%36%
Total66.0%34.2%

Advice: Double chance : SC Braga or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ 1xBet
Draw4.98 @ Pinnacle
Away8.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Braga = 3.21 (league 1.44), Arouca = 0.89 (league 1.23)

Arouca
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Braga 0 1.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.3% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.5% 7.6% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 8.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.3% 6.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.7% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.4% · Draw 11.1% · Away win 6.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1