Fri, Apr 10 2026 • 19:45 • Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.45) 0.53 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.2% 23.5% 11.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.5%
2 - 0
15.3%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Moreirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Famalicao 0 11.2% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.5% 9.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.3% 8.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.5% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFamalicaoMoreirense
Played55
Form73%13%
Attack40%13%
Defense80%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Famalicao Moreirense
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins57%36%46%43%29%36%
Draws14%36%25%14%21%18%
Loses29%29%29%43%50%46%

Form: Famalicao: WWDWLDDDWWLDLWLLLWWLWLWDWWWD • Moreirense: WWWLWLWLLWLDDLDWWLWLLWLDDLLL

League goals

Metric Famalicao Moreirense
HATHAT
GF total231235161531
GF avg1.60.91.31.11.11.1
GA total91524192140
GA avg0.61.10.91.41.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFamalicaoMoreirense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%50%68%75%
1.536%21%36%43%
2.514%7%7%21%
3.54%4%0%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFamalicaoMoreirense
HATHAT
Clean sheets9514347
Failed to score358459

Penalties

MetricFamalicaoMoreirense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFamalicaoMoreirense
Wins33
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-10-2
Biggest losses2-35-00-43-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricFamalicaoMoreirense
Form85%15%
Att75%25%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total76.0%24.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Famalicao or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.64 @ Unibet
Draw4.10 @ Dafabet
Away6.20 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Famalicao = 1.65 (league 1.45), Moreirense = 0.53 (league 1.23)

Moreirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Famalicao 0 11.2% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.5% 9.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.3% 8.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.5% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.2% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 11.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1