Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 14:30 •
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.45)
1.43 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.5% | 21.9% | 27.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Estrela | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arouca | 0 | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arouca | Estrela |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 50% | 70% |
| Defense | 40% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arouca | Estrela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 36% | 27% | 31% | 27% | 14% | 21% |
| Draws | 21% | 13% | 17% | 33% | 36% | 34% |
| Loses | 43% | 60% | 52% | 40% | 50% | 45% |
AroucaWLDDLWLDLLLLLWDDLWLWWLWLLLWWL
EstrelaDLDDLDWLLWDLWLDWDLLDWLLDDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Arouca | Estrela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 16 | 37 | 20 | 13 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 27 | 31 | 58 | 22 | 26 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arouca | Estrela | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 79% | 55% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 34% | 59% | 28% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 34% | 21% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 7% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arouca | Estrela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arouca | Estrela |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arouca | Estrela |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 3-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 6-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arouca | Estrela |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 52.7% | 47.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.24 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away3.90 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.03 @ SBO
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.12 @ Betano
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League standings
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