Mon, Apr 27 2026 • 10:00 •
Ternopilsky Misky Stadion
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.23)
1.12 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.4% | 21.3% | 20.5% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Oleksandria | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 0 | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 170 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi -12.6, Oleksandria -37.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
vs
Oleksandria
Elo gapEpitsentr Dunayivtsi +170
Home / draw / away60% / 18% / 22%
Expected home share73%
Combined Elo2995.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2995.6
Elo home share
73%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Oleksandria |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1565.3 | 1430.3 |
| Form Elo | 1556.7 | 1396.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1534.3 | 1474.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1544.4 | 1415.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1548.3 | 1433 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -12.6 | -37.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi last-5 Elo change: -12.6; Oleksandria last-5 Elo change: -37.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Oleksandria |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 7% |
| Attack | 44% | 33% |
| Defense | 67% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Oleksandria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 25% | 33% | 29% | 18% | 0% | 9% |
| Draws | 17% | 8% | 13% | 9% | 42% | 26% |
| Loses | 58% | 58% | 58% | 73% | 58% | 65% |
Epitsentr DunayivtsiLLLLWLLLWWLLDDWLLLWWLWLD
OleksandriaLLLLWDWLDLDLDLLDLLLLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Oleksandria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 10 | 26 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 19 | 17 | 36 | 22 | 23 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Oleksandria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 63% | 43% | 96% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 42% | 17% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 21% | 9% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 17% | 4% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Oleksandria | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Oleksandria |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Oleksandria |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 5-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | Oleksandria |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 65.5% | 34.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.20 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.50 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.79 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…