Ligue 2 — France
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 19:00 • Nouste Camp
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.39) 1.74 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.6% 23.5% 46.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Saint Etienne
0 1 2 3 4 5
PAU 0 4.7% 8.2% 7.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
1 6.2% 10.8% 9.4% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 4.1% 7.1% 6.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5%
3 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPAUSaint Etienne
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PAU Saint Etienne
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins33%42%38%58%50%54%
Draws25%33%29%17%17%17%
Loses42%25%33%25%33%29%

Form: PAU: WDWDLWWWWDLLDDLWLDLDWWLL • Saint Etienne: DWWDWWWLWLLWLWWLDDWLLWWW

League goals

Metric PAU Saint Etienne
HATHAT
GF total172037261541
GF avg1.41.71.52.21.31.7
GA total192039141529
GA avg1.61.71.61.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePAUSaint Etienne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%71%79%67%
1.546%50%54%33%
2.521%25%21%17%
3.50%8%8%4%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPAUSaint Etienne
HATHAT
Clean sheets347448
Failed to score213145

Penalties

MetricPAUSaint Etienne
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricPAUSaint Etienne
Wins43
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-36-00-2
Biggest losses0-36-02-34-0
Goals For3363
Goals Against3634

Model comparison

MetricPAUSaint Etienne
Form44%56%
Att67%33%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Saint Etienne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away2.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.48 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PAU = 1.31 (league 1.39), Saint Etienne = 1.74 (league 1.19)

Saint Etienne
0 1 2 3 4 5
PAU 0 4.7% 8.2% 7.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
1 6.2% 10.8% 9.4% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 4.1% 7.1% 6.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5%
3 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.6% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 46.8%

vtt 7 , vtd1