Ligue 2 — France
Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 19:00 • Stade Marcel Picot
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.39) 0.70 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.1% 42.2% 36.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.2%
0 - 1
22.0%
1 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Montpellier
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nancy 0 31.2% 22.0% 7.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.4% 10.1% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNancyMontpellier
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack80%100%
Defense20%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nancy Montpellier
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%23%28%46%33%40%
Draws17%31%24%23%17%20%
Loses50%46%48%31%50%40%

Form: Nancy: DWWDLLWLDLLWLLLLWWLLDWLDD • Montpellier: DWLDLWLWLWWDWWLLDLLWWLWLD

League goals

Metric Nancy Montpellier
HATHAT
GF total9132220828
GF avg0.81.00.91.50.71.1
GA total141933151025
GA avg1.21.51.31.20.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNancyMontpellier
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%76%64%72%
1.528%36%28%20%
2.54%16%12%8%
3.50%4%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNancyMontpellier
HATHAT
Clean sheets426437
Failed to score6511369

Penalties

MetricNancyMontpellier
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricNancyMontpellier
Wins22
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-10-2
Biggest losses0-34-11-32-0
Goals For2342
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricNancyMontpellier
Form46%54%
Att36%64%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h7%93%
Goals21%79%
Total35.0%65.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Montpellier and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.63 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.88 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.03 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nancy = 0.46 (league 1.39), Montpellier = 0.70 (league 1.19)

Montpellier
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nancy 0 31.2% 22.0% 7.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.4% 10.1% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.1% · Draw 42.2% · Away win 36.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1