Ligue 2 — France
Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 19:00 • Nouste Camp
Not Started

PAU

—
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.38) 0.57 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 37.4% 23.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.2%
1 - 0
20.4%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Bastia
0 1 2 3 4 5
PAU 0 24.2% 13.9% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.4% 11.7% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.6% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPAUBastia
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack100%20%
Defense0%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.61 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PAU Bastia
HATHAT
Played131225121224
Wins31%42%36%17%8%13%
Draws23%33%28%33%42%38%
Loses46%25%36%50%50%50%

Form: PAU: WDWDLWWWWDLLDDLWLDLDWWLLL • Bastia: DLLDLLLDDLLWLLLDWWLDDDDL

League goals

Metric PAU Bastia
HATHAT
GF total1720377512
GF avg1.31.71.50.60.40.5
GA total222042161127
GA avg1.71.71.71.30.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePAUBastia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%72%38%63%
1.544%52%13%38%
2.520%28%0%13%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPAUBastia
HATHAT
Clean sheets347549
Failed to score3146915

Penalties

MetricPAUBastia
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricPAUBastia
Wins42
Draws24
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-31-00-2
Biggest losses0-36-01-32-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against3632

Model comparison

MetricPAUBastia
Form60%40%
Att89%11%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : PAU or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away3.35 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Betano
Under 2.51.80 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PAU = 0.85 (league 1.38), Bastia = 0.57 (league 1.18)

Bastia
0 1 2 3 4 5
PAU 0 24.2% 13.9% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.4% 11.7% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.6% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 37.4% · Away win 23.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1