Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio Leandro Ovelar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.26) 0.44 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.5% 32.2% 14.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.5%
0 - 0
20.5%
2 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sportivo Luqueno
0 1 2 3 4 5
General Caballero 0 20.5% 9.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.5% 10.3% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.4% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGeneral CaballeroSportivo Luqueno
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack20%20%
Defense75%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric General Caballero Sportivo Luqueno
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%17%33%50%33%42%
Draws33%17%25%17%17%17%
Loses17%67%42%33%50%42%

Form: General Caballero: LLLLDWWDWLDW • Sportivo Luqueno: WWDLWLWWDLLL

League goals

Metric General Caballero Sportivo Luqueno
HATHAT
GF total72912416
GF avg1.20.30.82.00.71.3
GA total412169716
GA avg0.72.01.31.51.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGeneral CaballeroSportivo Luqueno
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.542%58%67%58%
1.525%42%42%42%
2.58%25%8%25%
3.50%8%8%8%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGeneral CaballeroSportivo Luqueno
HATHAT
Clean sheets325235
Failed to score347134

Penalties

MetricGeneral CaballeroSportivo Luqueno
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGeneral CaballeroSportivo Luqueno
Wins22
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-15-10-1
Biggest losses0-14-01-42-0
Goals For3152
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricGeneral CaballeroSportivo Luqueno
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total59.8%40.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : General Caballero or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away3.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): General Caballero = 1.14 (league 1.26), Sportivo Luqueno = 0.44 (league 1.12)

Sportivo Luqueno
0 1 2 3 4 5
General Caballero 0 20.5% 9.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.5% 10.3% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.4% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 14.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1