Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Arsenio Erico
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.27) 0.78 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.9% 29.1% 22.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sportivo Trinidense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nacional Asuncion 0 12.8% 10.0% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.3% 12.7% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.4% 8.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNacional AsuncionSportivo Trinidense
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack35%29%
Defense65%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nacional Asuncion Sportivo Trinidense
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%22%39%56%33%44%
Draws33%33%33%11%44%28%
Loses11%44%28%33%22%28%

Form: Nacional Asuncion: DWWWLDDWDLWWLWDDLL • Sportivo Trinidense: WWDLDWWLWLWLDDDWLW

League goals

Metric Nacional Asuncion Sportivo Trinidense
HATHAT
GF total16622141024
GF avg1.80.71.21.61.11.3
GA total7101712820
GA avg0.81.10.91.30.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNacional AsuncionSportivo Trinidense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%61%61%
1.522%22%44%33%
2.517%6%17%17%
3.56%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNacional AsuncionSportivo Trinidense
HATHAT
Clean sheets336347
Failed to score044257

Penalties

MetricNacional AsuncionSportivo Trinidense
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total37

Streaks

MetricNacional AsuncionSportivo Trinidense
Wins32
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-02-4
Biggest losses1-23-00-23-0
Goals For4244
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricNacional AsuncionSportivo Trinidense
Form38%62%
Att55%45%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Nacional Asuncion or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away3.68 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nacional Asuncion = 1.27 (league 1.27), Sportivo Trinidense = 0.78 (league 1.13)

Sportivo Trinidense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nacional Asuncion 0 12.8% 10.0% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.3% 12.7% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.4% 8.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.9% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 22.8%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1